AYP Proficiency Targets, Safe Harbor and
Matched Safe Harbor
AYP CALCULATION AND FORMULA:
To meet the AYP Proficiency requirement, students must meet targets for both reading and math. The specific targets are listed below and students scoring partially proficient, proficient or advanced on CSAP and Lectura and emerging, developing or novice on CSAPA are considered AYP proficient. The following formula is used to calculate percentage proficient:
Number of 12+
month students scoring partially proficient, proficient, or advanced
on CSAP/Lectura or emerging, developing, or novice on CSAPA
divided by
______________________________________________
Number of 12+ month students who took the tests and received a valid
score
To ensure
statistical validity, a 95% confidence interval has been included to
account for variability in population size in schools or districts. If
using the AYP Excel Calculator, the confidence interval around the
school’s/district’s proficiency percentage will calculate automatically.
If the upper limit exceeds the target, the disaggregated group will have
met the AYP target, even if its actual percentage is lower.
Formula to compute confidence limits for proficiency targets:
Upper Limit Formula:
Lower Limit Formula:
DISAGGREGATED GROUPS:
The following disaggregated by groups are accountable for making AYP targets as long as there are 30 or more 12+ month students: White, African-American, Asian, Hispanic, Native American, English Language Learners, Low-Income Students, and Students with Disabilities. Information about groups with less than 30 students is not reported, to ensure confidentiality and statistical accuracy. The school or district as a whole and all disaggregated groups must meet the following targets in order for the school/district to make AYP.
AYP TARGETS:
| AYP Proficiency Targets by Grade Span, Content Area, and Year | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Elementary School | Middle School | High School | |||
| Reading | Math | Reading | Math | Reading | Math | |
| *2002 | 76.92 | 75.86 | 73.61 | 59.51 | 79.65 | 47.00 |
| 2003 | 76.92 | 75.86 | 73.61 | 59.51 | 79.65 | 47.00 |
| 2004 | 76.92 | 75.86 | 73.61 | 59.51 | 79.65 | 47.00 |
| 2005 | 82.69 | 81.90 | 80.21 | 69.63 | 84.74 | 60.25 |
| 2006 | 82.69 | 83.64 | 80.21 | 69.63 | 84.74 | 60.25 |
| 2007 | 82.69 | 83.64 | 80.21 | 69.63 | 84.74 | 60.25 |
| 2008 | 88.46 | 89.09 | 86.81 | 79.75 | 89.83 | 73.50 |
| 2009 | 88.46 | 89.09 | 86.81 | 79.75 | 89.83 | 73.50 |
| 2010 | 88.46 | 89.09 | 86.81 | 79.75 | 89.83 | 73.50 |
| 2011 | 94.23 | 94.54 | 93.41 | 89.88 | 94.92 | 86.75 |
| 2012 | 94.23 | 94.54 | 93.41 | 89.88 | 94.92 | 86.75 |
| 2013 | 94.23 | 94.54 | 93.41 | 89.88 | 94.92 | 86.75 |
| 2014 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
*Starting Point
Notes:
- Targets are percentages
- AYP Proficiency = Partially Proficient, Proficient, Advanced on CSAP/Lectura and Emerging, Developing, Novice on CSAPA
- AYP performance targets must be reached by the State overall, each school district and school as a whole, and as well as every disaggregated group of 30 or more 12+ month students. Disaggregated groups with fewer than 30 students are not held to the performance targets.
- Disaggregated groups = White, Black, Hispanic, Native
American/Alaskan Native, Asian/Pacific Islander, Economically
Disadvantaged, Students with Disabilities, and English Language
Learners
SAFE HARBOR:
A school/district/disaggregated group that does not meet an AYP performance target (adjusted for confidence interval) for reading/math proficiency may have an opportunity to meet the target by demonstrating a 10 percent reduced non-proficiency rate compared to the previous year. Safe Harbor is limited to schools/districts/disaggregated groups with 30 or more 12+ month students for two years in a row. Safe Harbor compares different students from one year to the next (e.g. 3rd – 5th graders for current year compared to 3rd – 5th graders in previous year).
Safe Harbor Reducing Non-Proficiency by 10%
| Year | School | White | Hispanic | Black | Native American/ Alaskan |
Native Asian/ Pacific Islander |
Free and Reduced Lunch | Students w/ Disabilities | English Language Learner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 Nonproficient Results | 41.0% | 38.0% | 36.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | 39.0% | N/A* | 55.0% | 52.0% |
|
10% Reduction |
4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | NA** | NA** | N/A* | NA** | 5.2% |
| 2003 Nonproficient Targets | 36.9% | 34.2% | 32.4% | 36.0% | NA** | NA** | N/A* | NA** | 46.8% |
| 2003 "n"* Size | 216 | 72 | 66 | 50 | 9 | 19 | N/A* | 17 | 31 |
|
Number scoring in unsatisfactory range |
71 | 21 | 20 | 18 | NA** | NA** | N/A* | NA** | 15 |
|
%Nonproficient *** |
32.8% | 29.2% | 30.3% | 36.0% | NA** | NA** | N/A* | NA** | 48.4% |
| Made Safe Harbor? | YES | YES | YES | YES | NA** | NA** | N/A* | NA** | NO |
MATCHED SAFE HARBOR:
A school/district/disaggregated group that does not meet an AYP reading/math performance target or Safe Harbor may have another opportunity to meet the target by demonstrating a 10 percent reduced non-proficiency rate from the previous year by students who took the same test (CSAP or CSAPA) in both years. Matched Safe Harbor compares the exact same students from one year to the next (e.g. current 4th – 5th graders who were 3rd – 4th graders in prior year). Matched Safe Harbor is limited to schools, districts, and disaggregated groups that meet the 95 percent match rate: If 95 percent or more current 12+ month students (3rd graders removed) did not test in the prior year, school/district or disaggregated group is not eligible for Matched Safe Harbor.
For Additional Information Contact:
Donna Morganstern
303-866-6209
send an email